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The market now expects forward guidance to change in mylène farmer libertine March and this facebook exchange likes will inspire current longs to sit tight for this positive catalyst.
Missing guidance on inflation will only add to its woes.Eurusd has been whipsawed in a 150 pip range between.238 and.253, but is settling down near the highs of the session and above.25.There were no changes and no hints at change in the future.In addition, the President further attributed some of the latest EUR/USD gains to US protectionist rhetoric.Perhaps more significant, at least for New Zealand Dollar traders, was the surprise dip in inflation reported last night.We continue to think the rbnz stays on hold in 2018 and this leaves the direction of the currency largely determined by external factors, reviewed Credit Agricole.The market will now eagerly await inflation data out from Australia next week, and given the strong correlation between the data in New Zealand and Australia, it may be braced for a similar disappointment.The market will now focus on the Australian release due next week.Overall, however, there was little in Draghis remarks to point at growing discomfort about the latest ascent of EUR." "Where do we go from here?" "We remain bullish on EUR/USD over long-term because we believe that the policy convergence between the Fed and the ECB.And with a nod to Mnuchins comments which led to further US dollar falls, added the euro exchange rate has moved largely due to improvement in the economy but partly due to "endogenous" comments by someone outside the ECB.
Yet no changes were made.
While this can be seen as a dovish development, it only seems to delay the changes until the next meetings.
CAD.6000.1000.7000.1000, cHF.5500.5500.4500.1500, gBP.6500.6500.8000.1000, pLN.3000.0000.6500.0000.
Rosinca : Kabbalist (17:33 no se tu ).
The inflation data caused a 1 drop in nzdaud.While the ECB is stealing all the headlines, the implications of the meeting are pretty minimal.NZ inflation surprised significantly to the downside (actual.6 YoY; consensus.9 YoY ; rbnz.8 YoY, previous.9 YoY which has dented, but not derailed the NZD/USDs rally.Importantly, the weakness in inflation was driven by core factors, which cannot be ignored as temporary.Actually Credit Agricole are one of the few banks expecting the rbnz to stay on hold in 2018.The market has priced in the first rate hike in Q4 this year, although this may now change.However, this didnt stop the Euro (to dollar, pound) exchange rates rallying; traders will stay long for the next meeting and the inevitable change.Volatility in the currency markets is still high in the wake of todays ECB meeting.The Australian Dollar is down quite heavily this year against many G10 currencies and has only really made gains against the USD and the NZD.